“Erdoğan has to make the case to Trump that there are material benefits that are greater than the S-400 issue. Giving Turkey greater control in Syria is in line with Trump’s desire to reduce U.S. costs in the conflict.”
“[The Biden administration’s maximum pressure campaign] has not only failed to secure a better deal with Iran on its nuclear activities and problematic Iranian regional behavior, but actually created problems that did not previously exist.”
“It appears that Senator Graham wanted to ‘reward’ the Egyptian government for finally resolving the 2011 to 2013 convictions against mostly US-based NGOs. But this step…carried no domestic political cost for President Sisi.”
“Here in Tunisia a large number of voters sent a clear message of rebuke to the ruling political establishment. [Tunisia is] entering new territory, a realignment underway. What unfolds next, not clear.”
“Perhaps his most important legacy was his successful attempts to forge consensus with the Ennahda Party, an Islamist movement, and his secular party, Nidaa Tounes. This power-sharing that he helped achieve has been crucial to…political stability.”
“The interest in Tunisia is primarily around its unique democratic experiment… While Tunisians are very protective of their experiment, and they say they’re not trying to export their model, I think they are an inspiration.”
“The sense of Western perfidy that Erdogan saw with Egypt, he was very explicit about seeing Morsi’s overthrow as one iteration of a larger story in which Western forces are attempting to control the world.”
“[Trump administration officials] want to raise the cost to the Iraqi government of working with Iranian-aligned actors and force it to choose between the United States and Iran… such an approach is likely to backfire.”