“The AKP leadership really does see the Gulenist movement as fundamentally centralized and the core of internal resistance to its rule. The AKP is…a revolutionary state: Purges are not secondary to this process, they are intrinsic to it.”

“I don’t think anyone seriously believes that Kavala is guilty of anything more than demonstrating the continued, stubborn vibrancy of civil society in Turkey… [H]is very prominence is demonstration that nobody is safe.”

“Turkey needs the European Union. Europe is an immensely important source of economic support and direct investment. […But] Erdogan feels that…toughness and militancy gets results. This…makes ‘normalisation’ extremely difficult.”

“At the core, Erdogan believes the US wants to overturn him, which means he is likely to see sanctions in that light. Moreover, Turkey is far less dependent on the US than it is on Germany and the European Union.”

“My sense is that nothing much was agreed to other than to kick the crisis down the road.”

“In a country where more than 400 people have been arrested for taking anti-war stances on social media, in which non-Muslim populations feel deeply at risk, how could they possibly have said no [to Turkey’s military incursion in Syria]?”